CRC 649/3: Application of Probabilistic Forecasting to Load Management (SP T04)


The increasing amount of renewable energy production in the German electricity market poses new challenges to market participants. In this transfer project we aim at generating probabilistic forecasts of electricity load of industrial consumers and assess their benefit for demand-side-management. This can help companies to cope with the new market environment and to improve system stability. Together with ÖKOTEC Energiemanagement GmbH we want to adopt the methods developed within the CRC 649 “Economic Risk” to real consumer data. This requires flexible modelling techniques. Potential time-varying behaviour will be address using localizing methods. Results will be evaluated and visualized and their applicability to practice will be tested.


Principal Investigators
López Cabrera, Brenda Prof. Dr. (Details) (Quantitative Climate, Weather and Energy Analysis)

Duration of Project
Start date: 11/2017
End date: 09/2019

Research Areas
Economics, Humanities and Social Sciences, Statistics and Econometrics

Research Areas
Angewandte Finanzmathematik, angewandte Mathematik, Makroökonomie, Marketing, Mikroökonomie, Ökonometrie, Organisationstheorie, Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und Statistik, Wirtschaftspolitik, Wirtschaftstheorie

Last updated on 2021-30-07 at 13:16