FG 1736/1: Urban Climate and Heat Stress in mid-latitude cities in view of climate change (TP 06)
The impact of climatic effects on human health has been proven in several studies and particularly urban heat stress has been linked to mortality, morbidity as well as a reduced quality of life. However, up to now little is known about the spatial patterns and processes of heat stress risk on a city-wide scale linking socioeconomic and biophysical dimensions of vulnerability. The objectives of this module are therefore (1) A multiscale analysis of vulnerability of the population to urban heat stress, (2) A risk analysis to indoor and outdoor urban heat stress for selected vulnerable population groups, (3) Scenario development of likely future vulnerability and risk under different alternatives of options. To account for the heterogeneous und multidimensional datasets and to explore conditional dependencies between influencing variables we focus on a machine-learning modelling approach for urban heat stress. The expected outcomes are methodological developments of machine-learning for modelling vulnerability and risk and insights on urban heat stress for further developing coping strategies.
Participating external organisations
Financer
Duration of project
Start date: 11/2012
End date: 06/2016
Research Areas
Research Areas
Publications
Schuster, C., Burkart, K., & Lakes, T. (2014). Heat mortality in Berlin–Spatial variability at the neighborhood scale. Urban Climate, 10, 134-147
Schuster, C., Honold, J., Lauf, S., & Lakes, T. (2017). Urban heat stress: Novel survey suggests health and fitness as future avenue for research and adaptation strategies. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 044021
Mahlkow, N., Lakes, T., Donner, J., Köppel, J., & Schreurs, M. (2016). Developing storylines for urban climate governance by using Constellation Analysis—insights from a case study in Berlin, Germany. Urban Climate, 17, 266-283
Scherer, D., Fehrenbach, U., Lakes, T., Lauf, S., Meier, F., & Schuster, C. (2013). Quantification of heat-stress related mortality hazard, vulnerability and risk in Berlin, Germany. DIE ERDE–Journal of the Geographical Society of Berlin, 144, 238-259
Urban, A., Burkart, K., Kyselý, J., Schuster, C., Plavcová, E., Hanzlíková, H., Štěpánek, P., & Lakes, T. (2016). Spatial patterns of heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic. International journal of environmental research and public health, 13, 284
Kreibich, H., Bubeck, P., Kunz, M., Mahlke, H., Parolai, S., Khazai, B., Daniell, J., Lakes, T., & Schröter, K. (2014). A review of multiple natural hazards and risks in Germany. Natural Hazards, 74, 2279-2304
Philips, A., Schuster, C., & Lakes, T. (2013). Spatial modeling of heat stress risk in Berlin. In: AGILE Conference.
Schuster, C., & Lakes, T. (2014). Spatial patterns of heat stress and risk factors in Berlin. In, Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers AAG