Biodiversity Impacts of Future Land Use Trajectories
Abstract
This project investigates the influence of future land use change on global biodiversity by (1) synthesizing knowledge on land use effects on biodiversity across a range of taxa and by compiling indicators on the current extent and intensity of global land use, (2) adapting species-area models to assess the biodiversity outcome of a variety of available future land use projections, (3) disentangling the trade-offs between agricultural expansion and agricultural intensification for the world’s biodiversity, and (4) studying alternative development pathways across a range of future land use scenarios.
Principal investigators
Participating external organisations
Financer
Einstein Foundation Berlin
Duration of project
Start date: 03/2012
End date: 12/2015
Website
Research Areas
Research Areas
Publications
Kehoe L., Romero-Muñoz A., Estes L., Kreft H., Polaina E. & Kuemmerle T. (2017): Biodiversity at risk under future cropland expansion and intensification. Nature Ecology & Evolution 1 1129–1135.
Kehoe L., Senf C., Meyer C., Gerstner K., Kreft H. & Kuemmerle T. (2016): Agriculture rivals biomes in predicting global species richness. Ecography 40 1118–1128.
Kehoe L., Kuemmerle T., Meyer C., Vaclavik T and Kreft H. (2015): Global patterns of land-use intensity and biodiversity. Diversity and Distributions 21 1308–1318.
